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How it is counted.

Rating is a running score, and a win at +150 moves it more than a win at −110. Tracked X handles are graded by the same formula as the people tailing them, on the same scale.

Units, prices and the board

A unit is the stake the capper posted, 1 if none.

A tracked pick posted without odds is recorded at the market price when logged. About 28% of the picks we track had no posted price.

Scout, our bot, posts a game when 3 or more cappers take one side, or 2 or more take each. The home page's board is those games.

The standings list a capper with 10 or more picks graded in the last 30 days and rank by units won.

How Rating works

Everyone starts at Rating 1,000. Each settled pick moves it up or down based on the result, the odds you took, and how much of a track record you've built. Rating reads one input: settled picks. A hundred thousand followers moves it exactly zero.

  • Odds-weighted.

    Winning at longer odds moves your Rating more than winning on favorites. Bet size never changes it.

  • Small samples.

    Your first pick moves Rating about twice as hard as your fiftieth.

  • Parlays.

    Multi-leg picks count for less. One longshot parlay hitting won't rocket your Rating, and a losing streak of them won't crater it.

A record page also shows a tier word, Bronze to Grandmaster, that follows Rating. It is a label on the record, not a place in the standings.

A losing record is not automatically one worth betting against.

Taking the other side of a capper means buying that side at its own price, and that price carries vig too. So two records with the same units can be very different underneath.

Some cappers lose because they were on the wrong side. The other side of those picks has its own price and its own vig, so fading them is a record of its own.

Others lose because they paid too much for the right side. Take the other side of those and you lose too, just more slowly.

We show you the math. We don’t tell you which side to be on.

Prove it.

Everyone starts at the same Rating, tracked cappers included. From there the only way up is settled picks.

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The standings

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